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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

The Football Analytics Show uses data and analytics to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.
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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng
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All Episodes
Archives
Now displaying: Page 5
Aug 18, 2022

Captain Jack Andrews, professional sports bettor and founder of Unabated, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversion. Highlights include: An early example of a sports betting edge (5:15). The difficulty in finding a good book maker (8:13). Analytics and book making (14:19). Educating sports bettors (23:09). Betting NFL football (33:37). Top down versus bottom up approaches to betting (40:12). The bright future for sharp sports bettors (49:46). How exchanges work (55:06). How to get casino comps (1:08:11).

Support the podcast:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Aug 14, 2022

The first 20 supporters of The Football Analytics Show get the Establish the Pass mug. To support the podcast on Patreon:

https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

Aug 11, 2022

Bill Connelly, writer for ESPN and college football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Conference realignment and the future of college football (4:20). Ohio State and the defense (14:34). Alabama and the transfer portal (24:26). Georgia and replacing 5 first round NFL draft picks on defense (31:55). The N teams that could be 4th in the nation (36:22). Dark horse Heisman candidates (44:05). Simple advice on college football win totals (49:14). USC WR Jordan Addison (52:05). European club soccer (54:44).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

 

Aug 5, 2022

JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy Football joins the show to discuss predictive player analytics. JJ is the leading expert at season long NFL player projections. Highlights include: The importance of supply and demand in your fantasy football draft (6:26). The supply of wide receivers (14:30). Value and why fantasy football drafts are like betting (17:58). The model JJ uses to project NFL player statistics (31:45). Regression and how to use it to your advantage (39:55). Stefon Diggs and Buffalo Bills offense (45:10). Two surprise NFL teams (48:36).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jul 28, 2022

Dr. Nick Wan, the Director of Analytics for the Cincinnati Reds, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Nick got into baseball after earning his Ph.D. in neuroscience from Utah State. Highlights include: How an early sports analytics project made the front page of the New York Times (4:52). His tasks as Director of Analytics for a MLB team (10:35). How baseball as evolved from event to process based metrics (13:21). The frontier of player development analytics (16:58). The prospects for the Cincinnati Reds (24:55). Analytics for KFC, the fast food company (32:17). Creativity in sports analytics, and the role of logic (44:11).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

 

 

 

 

Jul 22, 2022

Pass rushers get paid to sack the quarterback. However, sack rate is not the best metric to evaluate pass rushers. In 2021, Von Miller, Robert Quinn and T.J. Watt showed the utility of pressure rate in evaluating edge rushers. For pass blockers, pressure rate allowed is not as good a metric. This episode describes a better way to evaluate offensive linemen.

Jul 8, 2022

Doug Kezirian, ESPN sports betting analyst and host of Daily Wager, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How a Los Angeles guys arrived at ESPN in Las Vegas through Missouri and Iowa (2:45). Live basketball betting (15:26). NFL betting (31:30). Saints, Packers, Chiefs (38:21). Sports books and limiting sharps (46:43). Doug's big win on the 2021 NFL draft (56:51).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to the idea that predictive analytics is a crucial part of sports betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

 

 

Jun 30, 2022

To gauge NFL off season moves, let's look at the most important metrics for receivers and coverage players. This episode makes the case for yards per route run on offense, and suggests the symmetric quantity for coverage players. The predictability of these metrics and players like Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Casey Hayward Jr. are also discussed.

Jun 16, 2022

Mark Scalley and Mike Craig, two professional sports betting partners, join the show to talk about getting accounts. Highlights include: Starting a partnership in 2009 (4:20). Getting accounts in 2009 (9:00). Getting accounts in 2022 (16:50, 44:44). The key to sports betting relationships (26:07). Is Twitter a good thing for sports betting? (36:00). Getting limited at sports books (46:54). Origination and why no one discussed it at Bet Bash (55:31).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jun 10, 2022

Matt Courchene, the co-creator of Data Golf with his brother Will, joins the show to talk about predictive golf analytics. Matt describes how his tournament predictions work. This includes player ratings based on strokes gained as well as a more granular approach that separates a golfer's skill into off the tee, putting, etc. Matt describes his research into which of these shots are more predictive. Finally, Matt gives his thoughts on the 2022 U.S. Open at the Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts.

May 26, 2022

Kostya Medvedovsky joins the show to discuss DARKO, a well respected NBA player projection system. He begins with how a lawyer developed the data and math skills to develop DARKO. Then Kostya describes the two predictive systems that form the basis of DARKO, one of which was initially used in rocket science. Then he talks about how machine learning techniques combine these two factors. He uses Brandon Ingram of the New Orleans Pelicans as an example of how the system works. Finally, Kostya discusses the applications of DARKO to sports betting.

May 19, 2022

Matt Metcalf, the sports book director at Circa sports, describes his journey from sports book to professional bettor to the sports book at Circa. Matt takes us inside his head as he adjusts his college football ratings based on game results. This is the work that allows Circa to open the first college football spreads and totals on Sunday. He contrasts booking college football with the NFL. Matt also describes the role of analytics in his work, why Circa welcomes sharp sports bettor and the one thing he would change in the industry.

Apr 26, 2022

Matt Waldman, creator of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio (RSP), joins the show to talk about the 2022 NFL draft. He describes his year long process for watching film and evaluating hundreds of college players in creating the RSP. Matt talks about how Dak Prescott and others have helped him improve his process. While others talk about the intangibles for a player, Matt has a very specific definition for the It factor. He relates this It factor to improvisation music. The markets have Malik Willis as the favorite to be the top QB selected in the 2022 NFL draft, but Matt explains why he differs from this consensus.

Apr 20, 2022

Drew Dinsick, a sports bettor and co-host of NBC's Bet the Edge podcast, joins the show to talk about professional football and basketball. He describes how the NFL draft market has changed this year and a few bets that he likes. Drew talks about the top players at edge rusher and quarterback. Then Drew gets into his process for betting the NBA, which includes data from the markets and player performance models. He also has some fascinating insights into predicting totals in basketball.

Apr 14, 2022

Dr. Eric Eager, Head of Research, Development and Strategy at PFF, joins the show to discuss the NFL and the 2022 draft in particular. He talks about how he approaches betting the NFL draft from multiple perspectives. Then Eric breaks down the scenarios for the top three teams to pick: Jacksonville, Detroit and Houston. He also gives a few of his favorite bets on the 2022 NFL draft. Finally, we dig into NFL free agency season, and Eric describes the team he finds the most intriguing over the next few seasons.

Apr 12, 2022

Matthew Freedman, the Director of Content at FantasyPros and BettingPros, joins the show to talk about betting the NFL draft. Matthew talks about the primary tool that he uses to make bets and the best time to use this tool. He also encourages you to change your position when new information becomes available, and he provides examples from 2021. Finally, Matthew talks about his NFL draft bets for 2022.

Mar 30, 2022

George Chahrouri of PFF joins the show to break down NFL free agency. The conversation begins with quarterbacks, which includes Deshaun Watson to the Cleveland Browns and Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. George then decides whether the Miami Dolphins in Tyreek Hill or the Las Vegas Raiders in Davante Adams got a better wide receiver. Finally, George identifies three NFL teams that had a great free agency campaign.

Mar 24, 2022

This episode has Sweet 16 predictions usually saved for paying members of The Power Rank. Ed Feng also adds his analysis on three games: Arizona vs Houston, Purdue vs St. Peter's and Kansas vs Providence.

Mar 16, 2022

While the NCAA tournament selection committee has gotten better over the years, they made some seeding mistakes this year. Ed Feng identifies the reason for these mistakes before identifying the most difficult region, the easiest region, and the team with a very kind path.

Mar 16, 2022

Before getting into the two teams that could win the 2022 NCAA tournament, Edward Egros asks whether point guard play still matters. This leads into a breakdown of the top players for Arizona and Auburn.

Mar 15, 2022

The preseason AP poll is a surprising predictor of tournament success, and this episode looks at three top 10 teams from this poll. Duke has a load of NBA level talent, while Purdue thrives in one phase of the game but not the other. Finally, Kentucky is not the typical team that John Calipari puts together.

Mar 14, 2022

During the NCAA tournament Selection Show, Ed Feng and Edward Egros did a live stream. This episode of Bracket Wisdom captures three highlights from this conversation: 1. Illinois, Houston and whether injuries matter, 2. the second best team after Gonzaga, 3. two mid-major teams that thrive on offense and can win some games.

Mar 11, 2022

The only thing better than watching upsets in the NCAA tournament is predicting them. This episode first asks whether underdogs play at a slower pace or shoot more three pointers. Then the real reason that large underdogs in college basketball pull off the upset is revealed.

Mar 10, 2022

Points per possession is the gold standard for evaluating college basketball teams. However, you can sometimes do better than this standard by isolating one element with a lot of randomness. This episode uses Alabama and Kansas as examples of this extra edge in analyzing the 2022 NCAA tournament.

Mar 9, 2022

The Big 12 features three teams that could contend to win the NCAA tournament in 2022. This episode discusses:

  • How Baylor is still elite despite losing players from last year's title team and injuries
  • The key way this Kansas team differs from past Jayhawk teams
  • How Texas Tech has thrived under first year coach Mark Adams
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