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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

The Football Analytics Show uses data and analytics to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.
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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng
2023
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Archives
Now displaying: Page 4
Mar 30, 2022

George Chahrouri of PFF joins the show to break down NFL free agency. The conversation begins with quarterbacks, which includes Deshaun Watson to the Cleveland Browns and Russell Wilson to the Denver Broncos. George then decides whether the Miami Dolphins in Tyreek Hill or the Las Vegas Raiders in Davante Adams got a better wide receiver. Finally, George identifies three NFL teams that had a great free agency campaign.

Mar 24, 2022

This episode has Sweet 16 predictions usually saved for paying members of The Power Rank. Ed Feng also adds his analysis on three games: Arizona vs Houston, Purdue vs St. Peter's and Kansas vs Providence.

Mar 16, 2022

While the NCAA tournament selection committee has gotten better over the years, they made some seeding mistakes this year. Ed Feng identifies the reason for these mistakes before identifying the most difficult region, the easiest region, and the team with a very kind path.

Mar 16, 2022

Before getting into the two teams that could win the 2022 NCAA tournament, Edward Egros asks whether point guard play still matters. This leads into a breakdown of the top players for Arizona and Auburn.

Mar 15, 2022

The preseason AP poll is a surprising predictor of tournament success, and this episode looks at three top 10 teams from this poll. Duke has a load of NBA level talent, while Purdue thrives in one phase of the game but not the other. Finally, Kentucky is not the typical team that John Calipari puts together.

Mar 14, 2022

During the NCAA tournament Selection Show, Ed Feng and Edward Egros did a live stream. This episode of Bracket Wisdom captures three highlights from this conversation: 1. Illinois, Houston and whether injuries matter, 2. the second best team after Gonzaga, 3. two mid-major teams that thrive on offense and can win some games.

Mar 11, 2022

The only thing better than watching upsets in the NCAA tournament is predicting them. This episode first asks whether underdogs play at a slower pace or shoot more three pointers. Then the real reason that large underdogs in college basketball pull off the upset is revealed.

Mar 10, 2022

Points per possession is the gold standard for evaluating college basketball teams. However, you can sometimes do better than this standard by isolating one element with a lot of randomness. This episode uses Alabama and Kansas as examples of this extra edge in analyzing the 2022 NCAA tournament.

Mar 9, 2022

The Big 12 features three teams that could contend to win the NCAA tournament in 2022. This episode discusses:

  • How Baylor is still elite despite losing players from last year's title team and injuries
  • The key way this Kansas team differs from past Jayhawk teams
  • How Texas Tech has thrived under first year coach Mark Adams
Mar 8, 2022

In 2021, Gonzaga had their undefeated season foiled by Baylor in the national championship game. In 2022, Gonzaga will most likely be the top seed again, and this episode looks at their chances to win a championship.

Mar 7, 2022

Bracket Wisdom is a daily podcast series to help you win your March Madness pool. This first episode gives the top 3 tips for winning your pool. While the first two rely on analytics, the third focuses on strategy.

Mar 1, 2022

Ken Pomeroy joins the show to talk college basketball analytics and the 2022 NCAA tournament. He describes the methods behind his college basketball rankings at kenpom.com, and how this has changed over the past 20 years. Ken then talks about how he would select teams for the NCAA tournament. Finally, he breaks down the top 5 teams in his rankings: Gonzaga, Kentucky, Baylor, Arizona and Duke.

Feb 23, 2022

Alan Boston, the college basketball betting legend who was featured in the book The Odds, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. He says he doesn't use analytics, but his process suggests otherwise. Examples of this include home court advantage and using program history to rate teams. Alan also talks about why he doesn't seek closing line value. During the discussion, he breaks down Gonzaga, Arizona, Kentucky and Baylor among other teams capable of winning the 2022 NCAA tournament.

Feb 17, 2022

Spanky, a professional sports bettor, joins the show to talk about his craft. He describes his top down approach to sports betting and how his goal is closing line value (CLV). In particular, he discusses whether CLV mattered in the NFL during the 2021 season, and whether CLV is different as the season approaches the Super Bowl. Spanky also evaluates sports betting in the United States, and how it might be changing for the better. Finally, he discusses the key to starting new projects like the Bet Bash conference and the Be Better Bettors podcast.

Feb 8, 2022

JJ Zachariason, founder of Late Round Fantasy Football and formerly of FanDuel, joins the show for a wide ranging NFL conversation. He describes his journey from an ebook to FanDuel to working for himself at LateRound.com. Then he breaks down the Super Bowl between the Cincinnati Bengals and Los Angeles Rams, and offers a bet on the game. Finally, JJ provides his reasoning behind two Super Bowl props.

Feb 3, 2022

Colin Davy, a Jeopardy champion through analytics and former director of data science at The Action Network, joins the show to talk about finding sports betting value. His Betscope tool aggregates data to find the best markets on a single game. In addition, the tool allows you to act on your beliefs by changing certain input parameters. Colin also discusses the analytics behind player props and how this impacts Super Bowl props.

Jan 25, 2022

Gill Alexander, the host of A Numbers Game on VSIN and the Beating the Book podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging NFL conversation. He first describes the debate between those who follow analytics and those who hate it, and which side is winning 2022. Then he breaks down the two conference championship games:

  • Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs
  • San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

The conversation also touches on the New Orleans Saints, the Washington Football Team (Gill's team), and the future of sports betting.

Jan 20, 2022

Fabian Sommer, a football analyst who uses analytics and data in his handicapping, joins the show to discuss the NFL Divisional Playoffs. First, he describes the variety of metrics he uses in evaluating match ups in NFL games. He also discusses closing line value and the curious case of Philadelphia. Then he breaks down the NFL Divisional Playoffs, which includes:

  • Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans
  • San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
  • Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

We end with a great discussion of books.

Jan 11, 2022

John Sheeran, the Director of Trading at FanDuel Sportsbook, joins the show to discuss the NFL. First, John discusses the Chargers vs Raiders game that could have ended in a tie and how FanDuel uses an analytics based model to help set the market. Then, John breaks down these Wild Card games:

  • Las Vegas at Cincinnati
  • New England at Buffalo
  • San Francisco at Dallas
  • Arizona at Los Angeles Rams
Jan 6, 2022

Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins the show to discuss the NFL before the 2022 playoffs. He talks about his prime Super Bowl contenders and the metrics that he uses to evaluate them. The discussion also touches on NFL quarterbacks such as Josh Allen, Carson Wentz, and Justin Herbert (one is getting lucky, one needs to throw deep more). Josh also talks about a new metric for pass rushers and whether he would re-sign Baker Mayfield. The conversation ends with a great discussion of meat.

Dec 28, 2021

Josh Hancher of Dawg Sports Live joins the show to discuss the college football playoff semi-final game between Georgia vs Michigan. He provides a look at the Georgia program under Kirby Smart, and host Ed Feng chimes in with the similarities and differences with Michigan. Josh breaks down the quarterbacks in this game and in particular what to expect from Georgia. There is one QB statistic that seems to favor Michigan but actually favors Georgia. This episode also includes The Power Rank's prediction for this game and a potential final between Georgia and Alabama.

Dec 16, 2021

Collin Wilson, senior writer at The Action Network, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. After describing how he left software consulting for college football media, Collin talks about how his college football ratings work. Then he discusses a number of college football bowl games, including Alabama vs Cincinnati, Georgia vs Michigan and Arkansas vs Penn State. Finally, Collin gives three bets with value. 

Dec 14, 2021

Parker Fleming, a football analyst that goes by @statsowar on Twitter, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. He describes how his predictive college football model works, and what his predictions say about the college football playoff semi-final games: Michigan vs Georgia and Alabama vs Cincinnati. Then Parker talks about two other bowl games with value. Finally, he provides details about Gary Patterson's departure from TCU.

Dec 8, 2021

Kevin Cole, Senior Data Scientist at PFF, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. We start with a discussion of New England's strategy against Buffalo to end week 13. Then Kevin describes his new NFL model for predicting spreads and the metrics that go into this model. This leads him into a bet he likes for week 14. Kevin also describes his NFL QB rankings based on Bayesian updating. During the conversation, Kevin also provides his insights on Baker Mayfield, home field advantage, the Cardinals, the Rams and Jalen Hurts. 

Dec 1, 2021

Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor, joins the show to talk about his trade. He describes how he makes college football predictions based on data, and he gives predictions for Alabama vs Georgia, Michigan vs Iowa and other games. Then he talks about how he bets the NFL without coming up with his own math model. Finally, Mike talks about college basketball betting and how he manages the immense number of games. 

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