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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

The Football Analytics Show uses data and analytics to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.
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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng
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Now displaying: Page 1
Feb 29, 2024

Ed Miller, co-author of the books Interception - The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting and The Logic of Sports Betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The one thing to take away from Interception (1:10). Betting versus making software for sports books operators (4:40). Why he and Matthew Davidow wrote Interception (6:47). Price discovery versus math models for making markets (10:39). The best way to win at sports betting that quants will like (16:45). How to beat same game parlays, or SGPs (20:22).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Feb 22, 2024

Jordan Sperber, college basketball analytics expert and founder of the Hoop Vision newsletter and channel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How Houston's top ranked defense defies analytics (1:12). Top national title contenders (8:31). Study on transition threes (9:38). Study on mid-range jumper (15:47). An overrated college basketball team (24:29).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Feb 16, 2024

Connecticut won the 2023 NCAA tournament in dominant fashion, and my numbers suggest that Dan Hurley's team will contend again this season.

This episode contains a chapter from the book The Miracle of St. Anthony by Adrian Wojnarowksi, my favorite sports book. It tells the story of a young Dan Hurley and his transition from playing to coaching.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting and March Madness bracket advice. To get my cheat sheet for filling out your bracket, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Feb 7, 2024

Matt Freedman, the head of betting at Matthew Berry Fantasy Life and the writer of the Betting Life newsletter, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A more obscure Super Bowl prop (1:28). A more conventional Super Bowl prop (5:19). How Matt and Fantasy Life come up with quantitative predictions (10:00). How Kansas City will attack San Francisco (14:13). An alternative to Travis Kelce MVP bet (20:00). Brock Purdy interceptions (22:30). Super Bowl prop market (29:00).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Feb 2, 2024

Adam Levitan, the founder of Establish the Run and NFL props expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Two Super Bowl props (0:50). How the quantitative team at Establish the Run works (7:20). How the NFL prop market has changed (11:51). San Francisco offense vs Kansas City defense (15:07). Kansas City offense vs San Francisco analysis (17:50). General advice on Super Bowl props (19:13).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jan 24, 2024

Drew Dinsick, a well respected quantitative bettor that also goes by Whale Capper, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Best bet on Kansas City at Baltimore (0:59). The spread market for Kansas City at Baltimore (13:16). Bet on Detroit at San Francisco (18:30). Biggest takeaway from the 2023 NFL season (26:37).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jan 17, 2024

Evan Silva, founder of Establish the Run and an exceptional NFL analyst, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Biggest takeaway for the 2023 NFL season (:40). Best bet for the Divisional Playoff (5:47). Houston at Baltimore (9:45). Green Bay at San Francisco (14:05). Chicago Bears and the top pick of the 2024 draft (21:45). Evan's QB rankings (26:58).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jan 10, 2024

Clevta, founder of clevanalytics.com and a respected NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:

  • The Joe Flacco miracle (1:25)
  • How to beat the Cleveland defense (6:07)
  • Cleveland at Houston (8:44)
  • A bet on Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (13:08)
  • A bet on Los Angeles Rams at Detroit (19:06)
  • Blended 4th quarter win probabilities for finding overrated teams (26:54)

Clevta does awesome work, and his analysis of these games is excellent.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Jan 3, 2024

Tej Seth, a data scientist at Sumer Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on Michigan vs Washington (1:03). Metrics Tej uses to evaluate NFL teams (6:10). Biggest NFL takeaway from the 2023 season (9:12). Detroit Lions (17:08). Tej's story and programming course (21:37).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Dec 28, 2023

Kelley Ford, the founder of the popular college football analytics site kfordratings.com, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: 3 big analytics takeaways from the 2023 season (1:47). How his college football rating work (7:38). Michigan vs Alabama (14:20). Texas vs Washington (23:02). 2 book recommendations (30:48).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Dec 14, 2023

Ryan Noonan, the Sports Betting Manager at 4for4 and cohost of the Move the Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Handicapping NFL tackle props (5:09). Tackle prop on Jacksonville safety (13:29). Tackle prop on Indianapolis interior lineman (15:50). Tackle prop on Chicago linebacker (18:01). Ryan's story of getting in sports betting (24:17).

Ryan was very generous in providing bets, and his analysis is excellent.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Dec 6, 2023

Edward Egros, a professor at Pepperdine University and co-host of BetQL Daily, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why NFL offenses suck this season (0:54). Defenses that play light boxes and what that means (7:12). A bet on Jacksonville at Cleveland (10:46). College football playoff semi-final games (17:38). A bet on Buffalo at Kansas City (26:25). The sign of value in a market (31:41).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Nov 29, 2023

Ben Brown, football analytics expert and contributor at Pinnacle sports book, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on San Francisco at Philadelphia, NFL Week 13 (2:25). Jalen Hurts as a passer (6:15). Georgia vs Alabama, SEC Championship game (14:37). Atlanta at New York Jets, making a prediction on Tim Boyle (20:06).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Nov 22, 2023

The Game. Ohio State and Michigan are undefeated. Again. This episode previews the game based on what types of models are better at predicting college football outcomes.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Nov 15, 2023

What is home advantage for an NFL team in a division game? How does this change in an out of division game?

This questions gets more difficult in college football, as out of conference games can feature teams of vastly different strength.

How much of an edge does a team off a bye week have over a team that played last week? This episode gives the most up to date quantitative answers to these questions in the NFL and college football.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Nov 9, 2023

Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of the Unexpected Points newsletter and podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Adjusted game scores and future predictions (3:45). Will Levis (10:24). How Buffalo at Cincinnati explains his metrics (13:20). Cleveland at Baltimore (20:00). Houston at Cincinnati (29:50). San Francisco at Jacksonville (39:20). Detroit at Los Angeles Chargers (43:02). The best team in the NFL (45:22).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Nov 2, 2023

Eddie Walls, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Explosive plays (4:38). Will Levis at Kentucky (7:40). Running clock changes in college football (14:00). 3 college football bets (15:45). How to find college football value in November (20:30). His NBA betting process (33:27). Advice for someone looking to bet the NBA (41:25). Betting daily sports like the NBA (45:55).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Oct 26, 2023

Connor Allen, the sports betting manager at 4for4 and host of the Move The Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How his NFL handicapping process involves analytics and watching games (6:34). An NFL player receiving yards prop (16:22). A week 8 NFL side (19:58). Desmond Ridder (24:20). Cincinnati at San Francisco (26:22). Houston at Carolina (28:36). Miami's defense (36:25). A surprise NFL prediction (40:00). Kansas City Chiefs (45:38). Seattle Seahawks (46:40).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Oct 18, 2023

After 7 weeks of the season, we now have some robust data with which to evaluate college football teams. This episode looks at whether to trust success rate or yards per play more and then digs into 3 teams. This has big implications for a huge Big Ten game and the future of a conference that will not exist next season.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Oct 12, 2023

Rob Pizzola, a professional sports bettor that uses quantitative methods to bet the NFL, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The new data Rob and his team work with in 2023 (5:20). NFL player prop betting (9:48). New England at Las Vegas, NFL Week 6 bet (22:26). Minnesota at Chicago, NFL Week 6 bet (23:50). San Francisco destroys Dallas in Week 5, signal or noise? (31:10). Los Angeles Rams (37:43).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Oct 5, 2023

Fabian Sommer, a professional NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Fabian's process for handicapping the NFL (2:17). Evaluating coordinators, Detroit OC Ben Johnson in particular (9:08). A bet on Houston at Atlanta, NFL Week 5 (15:45). If and when to get off your preseason prior (26:37). Cincinnati Bengals (29:00). Indianapolis Colts and Anthony Richardson (34:33). Chicago Bears (36:34). Handicapping rookie QB Aiden O'Connell (40:48). Dallas at San Francisco (43:20). Kansas City (46:09).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Sep 29, 2023

As an analytics person, you know better than to judge based on a small sample size. But do you know why this is so difficult?

This episode digs into the cognitive science behind your tenuous relationship with randomness. I hope it feels like a short audiobook, but not boring.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Sep 21, 2023

Tanner Buzick, the Director of Analytics at Dr. Bob Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative approach to betting the NFL (6:24). Carolina at Seattle (13:22). Nick Chubb, Tennessee at Cleveland (21:40). A surprise prediction and bet for the 2023 NFL season (26:20). Advice for breaking into the betting world (29:20).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Sep 14, 2023

Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How to get into sports betting in 2023 (5:35). Handicapping college football (8:02). FBS vs FCS games and whether they matter in handicapping (14:42). A college football bet (20:18). Colorado (23:02). Penn State at Illinois (33:12). A surprising prediction for the 2023 season (38:18). A team to fade (44:03). The state of sports betting (48:18).

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

Sep 8, 2023

Before the 2022 season, Dan Hanzus of NFL.com had Denver 8th in his power rankings. The Broncos finished the season 5-12.

I used his opinion in my best NFL predictions last year. Even in hindsight, I don't regret it. Let me explain in this episode.

The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:

https://thepowerrank.com/

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