Matt Freedman, the director of content at FantasyPros and BettingPros, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The hilarious way his fantasy football career got started (4:38). Matt's NFL model and handicapping process (12:56). Are NFL power ratings useful? (19:19). NFL home advantage (24:27). A Week 11 NFL bet on Chicago at Atlanta (28:02). Dallas at Minnesota (32:24). Detroit at New York Giants (36:20). San Francisco vs Arizona and QB injury adjustments (39:00). A surprising prediction for the rest of the NFL season (44:06).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Ryan O'Hanlon of ESPN joins the show for a wide ranging conversation on soccer, analytics and the World Cup. Highlights include: The evolution of soccer analytics over the past decade (5:54). His new book Net Gains (14:00). The optimal way to play soccer (19:25). The World Cup favorite (32:26). A World Cup dark horse to win (41:08). USMNT (45:43). The critical concept of xG (54:04).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Edward Golden, the founder of Right Angle Sports (RAS), joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. RAS is one of the only pick selling services with a long term track record of winning and honesty.
Highlights include: How Edward built up RAS (7:15). His approach to handicapping sports (15:00). A week 9 NFL bet he likes (16:40). College basketball betting (20:58). How to run a picks service so that customers can get down (27:30). How he balances betting with the service (32:13). How the betting world has changed with legalization in the US (39:30).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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For week 9 of the 2022 NFL season, there is a new patron only episode that digs into my research on NFL metrics and uses this to break down Green Bay and Tampa Bay.
Adam Chernoff of Right Angle Sports (RAS), who has had many roles in the sports betting world, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His "book making" start in the Caribbean (3:13). Betting tennis as a professional (17:58). Moving to RAS (23:55). The information and data he uses to handicap the NFL (29:14). How he uses Sports Info Solutions data to analyze defense (34:17). Sports betting and content (36:17). A week 8 NFL bet (42:00). Pittsburgh Steelers (47:09). Tampa Bay Buccaneers (49:58). Green Bay Packers (54:55).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics
Parker Fleming, a college football analytics expert for BetUS and The Hammer, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How Parker's college football model works (2:48). TCU and their big game against Kansas State (14:27). Michigan (25:58). The nightmare playoff scenario (31:22). A college football bet for week 8 (33:30). Syracuse at Clemson (36:00). A surprising college football prediction for 2022 (39:00).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
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Clevta, a quantitative NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How TA applied his finance background to the NFL (5:48). NFL analytics (21:15). His NFL betting process (29:32). A week 6 NFL bet (33:45). Russell Wilson and the Broncos offense (38:14). Ohio State, the defense and CJ Stroud (41:39).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Mike Craig, a long time professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports (RAS), joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His decision to join RAS this college football season (2:39). How RAS comes up with their college football plays (5:44). His process, both objective and subjective, for betting college football (20:40). An example of adjustments based on TCU at Oklahoma in week 5 (26:57). TCU at Kansas (34:49). A college football bet for week 6 (37:21). A college football team to bet the under (40:40). Michigan State (42:29). Advice for a new, ambitious bettor (48:34).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
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Chris Andrews, director of the sports book at the South Point, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The art of bookmaking (2:24). How square sports books do not practice the art of bookmaking (13:10). North Carolina State at Clemson (19:38). The difference between college football versus NFL (23:00). Michigan at Iowa (28:00). Denver at Las Vegas (31:56). Kansas City at Tampa Bay (36:24). A surprise prediction for the 2022 NFL season (42:20). His book Then One Year (44:45). A surprise book announcement (49:27).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Support the podcast:
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Eddie Walls, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His intense process for making college football bets (8:20). The relative importance of position groups (11:47). College football resources that Eddie uses (15:55). Making adjustments on teams during the season (21:10). A week 4 college football bet (28:50). Michigan, Ohio State, Alabama, Texas (30:00). Tennessee, Auburn and betting the SEC (34:45). A surprising prediction for the 2022 college football season (41:22). The milk shake story (45:06).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Support the podcast:
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Rob Pizzola, pro NFL bettor and founder The Hammer, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Mount Rushmore of bad NFL coaching by Denver's Nathaniel Hackett (2:39). Why he started the new sports betting content company The Hammer (12:00). Rob's process for betting the NFL in 2022 (23:45). A week 2 NFL bet (30:47). Cincinnati Bengals (37:42). New York Giants (40:57). New England Patriots (45:41). The worst team in the NFL (49:30). A very surprising prediction for the 2022 NFL season (52:21).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics
Dr. Eric Eager, the head of Research and Development at PFF, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Is there a demand for smart sports betting content? (4:50). Uniqueness of scheme, principle component analysis and finding value in the markets (12:39). Two week 1 NFL bets (22:50). Los Angeles Chargers (26:33). Pittsburgh Steelers and whether Mike Tomlin is a good coach (27:50). Philadelphia Eagles (32:37). Tampa Bay Buccaneers (37:30). Jacksonville Jaguars (44:15). Georgia, Ohio State (47:17).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
Support the podcast:
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Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow struggled with sacks last season, including a nine sack game against Tennessee. But is his pocket presence that bad? If it is, does this mean he will fumble more?
In this fifth and final episode of the 2022 Preview Series, Ed Feng sheds light on these questions through data. To check out the full list of NFL QB pressure rates, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/2022/09/01/preview-5-joe-burrow-sacks-and-predicting-fumbles/
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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How do you find value betting on the Heisman? Edward Egros explains his top tips before identifying a number of dark horse candidates.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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It seems like Georgia rode an elite defense to a 2021 national championship over Alabama. However, QB Stetson Bennett IV was phenomenal, as Edward Egros discusses in this third episode of the 2022 Preview Series.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get a sample of the free sports betting newsletter, one that discusses Stetson Bennett, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/2022/08/22/the-one-thing-to-know-about-heisman-betting/
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It might seem crazy to use preseason results to predict the NFL regular season. However, studies have shown that the NBA preseason is predictive of the games that matter.
In this second episode of the 2022 Preview Series, Edward Egros asks whether the NFL preseason is predictive and what other insights we can get from these games.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Since 2015, Ed Feng has gone 12 of 18 in picking overrated college football teams in the preseason AP poll. This episode reveals his three overrated teams for 2022 and his process behind the selections.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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Fabian Sommer, a well respect NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why he only bets the NFL and the benefits of this focus (2:21). Moving from picks to only betting (8:56). His quantitative and qualitative preparation for the 2022 season (13:45). Kansas City and their 2021 adjustments (21:32). Las Vegas and the offense of Josh McDaniels (27:59). Minnesota and Kevin O'Connell (31:50). Miami and Mike McDaniel (37:02). Dallas (39:41). Jacksonville and Doug Pederson (46:33).
Among these points, Fabian also discussed two win total bets he likes.
Support the podcast:
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The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
Captain Jack Andrews, professional sports bettor and founder of Unabated, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversion. Highlights include: An early example of a sports betting edge (5:15). The difficulty in finding a good book maker (8:13). Analytics and book making (14:19). Educating sports bettors (23:09). Betting NFL football (33:37). Top down versus bottom up approaches to betting (40:12). The bright future for sharp sports bettors (49:46). How exchanges work (55:06). How to get casino comps (1:08:11).
Support the podcast:
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The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
The first 20 supporters of The Football Analytics Show get the Establish the Pass mug. To support the podcast on Patreon:
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Bill Connelly, writer for ESPN and college football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Conference realignment and the future of college football (4:20). Ohio State and the defense (14:34). Alabama and the transfer portal (24:26). Georgia and replacing 5 first round NFL draft picks on defense (31:55). The N teams that could be 4th in the nation (36:22). Dark horse Heisman candidates (44:05). Simple advice on college football win totals (49:14). USC WR Jordan Addison (52:05). European club soccer (54:44).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
JJ Zachariason of Late Round Fantasy Football joins the show to discuss predictive player analytics. JJ is the leading expert at season long NFL player projections. Highlights include: The importance of supply and demand in your fantasy football draft (6:26). The supply of wide receivers (14:30). Value and why fantasy football drafts are like betting (17:58). The model JJ uses to project NFL player statistics (31:45). Regression and how to use it to your advantage (39:55). Stefon Diggs and Buffalo Bills offense (45:10). Two surprise NFL teams (48:36).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Dr. Nick Wan, the Director of Analytics for the Cincinnati Reds, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Nick got into baseball after earning his Ph.D. in neuroscience from Utah State. Highlights include: How an early sports analytics project made the front page of the New York Times (4:52). His tasks as Director of Analytics for a MLB team (10:35). How baseball as evolved from event to process based metrics (13:21). The frontier of player development analytics (16:58). The prospects for the Cincinnati Reds (24:55). Analytics for KFC, the fast food company (32:17). Creativity in sports analytics, and the role of logic (44:11).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Pass rushers get paid to sack the quarterback. However, sack rate is not the best metric to evaluate pass rushers. In 2021, Von Miller, Robert Quinn and T.J. Watt showed the utility of pressure rate in evaluating edge rushers. For pass blockers, pressure rate allowed is not as good a metric. This episode describes a better way to evaluate offensive linemen.
Doug Kezirian, ESPN sports betting analyst and host of Daily Wager, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How a Los Angeles guys arrived at ESPN in Las Vegas through Missouri and Iowa (2:45). Live basketball betting (15:26). NFL betting (31:30). Saints, Packers, Chiefs (38:21). Sports books and limiting sharps (46:43). Doug's big win on the 2021 NFL draft (56:51).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to the idea that predictive analytics is a crucial part of sports betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
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To gauge NFL off season moves, let's look at the most important metrics for receivers and coverage players. This episode makes the case for yards per route run on offense, and suggests the symmetric quantity for coverage players. The predictability of these metrics and players like Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams and Casey Hayward Jr. are also discussed.