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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

The Football Analytics Show uses data and computers to make predictions on games and break down match ups. The show covers both college football and the NFL.
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The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng
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Now displaying: Page 3
Jan 24, 2019

Chris Andrews, director of the South Point sports book, joins the show to discuss the Super Bowl. He talks about being aggressive as a bookmaker, with New England in the Super Bowl as an example. He also gives his view on Super Bowl props, analytics in bookmaking and putting out early college football win totals. 

Jan 16, 2019

Dr. Eric Eager, data scientist at Pro Football Focus, joins me for a wide ranging conversation on football analytics. We break down the two NFL conference title games by the numbers, but also get into the QB statistic that makes interesting predictions for Tom Brady vs Pat Mahomes. Throughout the conversation, Eric provides many insights, such as whether pass rush or secondary is more important, or how to do better than sacks in evaluating pass rush.

Jan 9, 2019

Whale Capper joins me to discuss how he uses seismic engineering to model the outcome of NFL games. Then we go through the 4 games of the NFL Divisional Playoff Round with predictions and analysis.

Jan 3, 2019

Host Ed Feng digs into the Alabama versus Clemson match up for the college football title game, and how this game is different from last season. Then he discusses the team with the best chances to win the Super Bowl, and whether their defense can hold up. Finally, he talks about a sleeper team to win the Super Bowl, and how the system is working against this team.

Dec 19, 2018

Dave Bartoo, who goes by CFB Matrix, joins me to talk college football predictions. We start by discussing his metrics for coaches and coordinators, and which teams made good or bad hires this off season. Then he gives us two bowl games with value in the markets. Finally, we discuss whether any team can catch Alabama and Clemson at the top of college football.

Dec 12, 2018

Host Ed Feng digs into his research on how to win your bowl pool and offers his 3 best tips. To explain the first tip, he uses Steph Curry as an example. The second tip relates to whether you want to enter a pool with confidence points or not. The third tip asks you to think contrarian and uses Virginia Tech vs Cincinnati as an example.

Dec 4, 2018

Data is a powerful tool for making sports predictions. However, it can also get you in trouble. In this special story telling episode, you'll see how small sample size affects Redskins fans, a Nebraska fan down on his team and a sports bettor. We'll also discuss the factor that makes the curse so much worse.

Nov 28, 2018

Bud Elliott, college football writer at SB Nation, joins me for a wide ranging conversation. We discuss how context can make football analytics even better. Then he talks about his process for picking college football games for his weekly betting column. Finally, we discuss the college football playoff, and how we could have narrowed the field of contenders 3 months ago.

Nov 20, 2018

Host Ed Feng talks about the great Michigan vs Alabama debate, and why it's not much of a debate. He previews Michigan at Ohio State, and then finds humor in the numbers for Oklahoma at West Virginia.

Nov 14, 2018

Jake Williams, Head of Legal at Sportradar and host of the Business of Betting podcast, joins me to talk sports data and betting. He highlights new opportunities that the legalization of betting in the United States will bring. With his work at Sportradar, Jake gives his perspective on sports data for both media and sports books. Finally, he ends with lesson from hosting his Business of Betting podcast.

Nov 7, 2018

Michael Lombardi joins the show to discuss his new book Gridiron Genius. He starts with lessons learned from working with Bill Walsh and Bill Belichick on building a culture. This leads into a discussion of the NFL teams with the best culture and Jim Harbaugh at Michigan. Then we talk about how information and analytics inform decision making across an NFL franchise. As a part of this discussion, Michael reveals the overlooked traits of successful offensive linemen and cornerbacks. We end with his NFL insider perspective for bettors.

Oct 31, 2018

With the release of the first playoff committee rankings, host Ed Feng looks at the probability that a team makes the playoff. In particular, he focuses on Michigan and Oklahoma, two teams outside the top 4 that have a solid chance to qualify. In addition, he highlights the top 10 team with almost no chance.

Oct 24, 2018

Josh ADHD, a data scientist who visualizes NFL data for Fantasy Insiders, joins the show to talk football data. His visualizations show how offenses attack the Cleveland defense and the drastic changes in Baltimore's offense this season. He also gives a wide receiver to pick up for your DFS lineup this weekend. We end by discussing an NFL team to fade the remainder of the season.

Oct 17, 2018

Host Ed Feng scours the numbers to bring you 3 midseason football predictions. This includes the struggling college football juggernaut, the NFL team whose pass offense might not suck, and the undefeated college football team that won't make the playoff.

Oct 10, 2018

Ben Baldwin, an Economics Ph.D. who covers the Seattle Seahawks for The Athletic, joins the show to talk NFL analytics. He discusses his research into the relationship between rushing and play action passing. The results might surprise you. He has also used success rate to evaluate the impact of Earl Thomas and running backs. We end by discussing the Seahawks and another surprise NFL team.

Oct 3, 2018

Host Ed Feng discusses how to use yards per play adjusted for strength of schedule to evaluate college football teams for 2018. He talks about the 0-4 team better than its record suggests, and the 5-0 team poised for disappointment. Then he digs into the team with playoff hopes that has seen a drastic decline on defense. He ends with some quick insights on 4 teams, including Michigan and Ohio State.

Sep 26, 2018

Rob Pizzola, a numbers based sports bettor, joins the show to discuss football and hockey analytics. He shares his experience starting out as a bettor and running the Prediction Machine site. Rob also discusses his NFL modeling and which team he's looking to back the next few weeks. With the start of the NHL season on October 4th, he educates us on the latest in hockey analytics and gives a bold prediction for the upcoming season.

Sep 19, 2018

David Hale, writer for ESPN, joins me to discuss his recent article on turnovers in college football. He talks about how game situation affects turnovers, and how these big plays can have interesting psychological consequences on the other team (e.g. Miami's turnover chain in 2017). We also discuss the catastrophe of Florida State, and whether to back or fade them. David also provides his thoughts on Clemson and Dabo Swinney's early season approach to coaching.

Sep 12, 2018

Josh Hermsmeyer, a data scientist and writer for FiveThirtyEight, joins me talk about his work on NFL passing analytics. He explains the concept of air yards and how the distance the ball travels in the air can lead to predictive stats. Josh also discusses his recent FiveThirtyEight article on how NFL offenses do not pass nearly enough. Finally, he gives us a value player for DFS and an NFL team prediction.

Sep 5, 2018

Kevin Cole, Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders, joins the show to talk the 2018 NFL season. He tells us about his Bayesian model for projecting young quarterbacks and how it sees Jimmy Garappolo, Dak Prescott, Carson Wentz and Jared Goff. Kevin also gives predictions for DFS (a receiver to target) and the NFL (team that won't make the playoffs).

Aug 30, 2018

Sometimes, a college football team doesn't live up to the hype. Host Ed Feng uses the preseason AP poll as a benchmark for expectations, then employs a regression model to find 3 overrated teams for 2018.

Aug 19, 2018

Bill Connelly, college football analytics expert and writer at SB Nation, joins me to discuss the upcoming season. We talk about his study on explosive plays, which has implications for Michigan's defense and Stanford's offense. Bill then tells us how his preseason model works, and what it says about Miami and USC. We end with Bill's overrated and underrated team for 2018.

Aug 9, 2018

Aaron Schatz, founder of Football Outsiders and pioneer in football analytics, joins the show to discuss his predictions for the 2018 NFL season. He tells us why the defense in Cleveland and Indianapolis will be much better than anyone expects. We also get into projecting San Francisco QB Jimmy Garoppolo based on a small sample size. Finally, Aaron reveals the secret to why Baltimore and New England might succeed this season.

Aug 2, 2018

Gill Alexander, host of A Numbers Game on VSIN, joins me for a wide ranging discussion on football analytics. He tells us story behind his Beating the Book podcast and how he weaves numbers into the show. Then we discuss the upcoming NFL season, including Indianapolis, Jacksonville and Cleveland among other teams. We end with Gill's movie recommendation that the analytics seem to like.

Jul 19, 2018

Will the Los Angeles Rams dominate after their free agent signings this off season? Will San Francisco burst into the playoffs with new QB Jimmy Garappolo? Will Cincinnati struggle again? Host Ed Feng harnesses the wisdom of crowds to get NFL preseason rankings and answer these questions.

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