Dr. Eric Eager, the Vice President of Research and Development at Sumer Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His transition from PFF to Sumer Sports (4:20). The problem with a football betting model (12:03). Tampa Bay (14:20). San Francisco at Philadelphia (17:38). Cincinnati at Kansas City (21:33). Overreaction to Cincinnati at Buffalo (26:17). The evolution of the Kansas City offense (28:09). The spread if Patrick Mahomes can't play (35:08). The role of luck in sports (47:08).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics
Chris Bennett, the Director of Risk at Circa Sports Book, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His first stoke of luck in his career (10:35). How he got his start in bookmaking (11:30). His edge as a sports bettor (22:06). NFL bookmaking (27:31). The NFL limits at Circa, open and close (33:49). Do big groups wait to bet right before the game? (44:57). Analytics in bookmaking (49:31). Dallas at San Francisco (52:57). Jacksonville at Kansas City (57:53). New York Giants at Philadelphia (59:55). Cincinnati at Buffalo (1:01:58). Super Bowl futures and implied probability (1:04:55). Spread for Kansas vs Buffalo AFC Championship game (1:09:53).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics
Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and creator of the Unexpected Points newsletter and podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversion. Highlights include: Chicago Bears and the number one pick in the 2023 draft (5:21). Adjusting QB stats for teammates and Daniel Jones (15:03). Kevin's model for predicting spreads (23:50). Seattle at San Francisco (27:35). Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville (32:35). Miami at Buffalo (35:44). New York Giants at Minnesota (38:05). Baltimore at Cincinnati (40:25). Dallas at Tampa Bay (45:03). The favorite to make the Super Bowl from the AFC (49:23).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics
Jim Sannes, senior writer/analyst at FanDuel and host of the Covering the Spread podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The predictive models that Jim uses in his handicapping (9:20). Philadelphia Eagles (15:39). A week 18 NFL bet (17:11). When models are way off market (20:24). His trick for finding NFL player prop bets (22:29). Detroit at Green Bay (26:55). Tennessee at Jacksonville (33:22). Tampa Bay at Atlanta, injury adjustments (36:40). A surprise prediction for the NFL playoffs (43:16).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Support the podcast:
https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics