Kevin Cole, football analytics expert and founder of Unexpected Points, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Are tight ends like Brock Bowers overrated? (1:29). An NFL draft bet (4:10). The trajectory of JJ McCarthy (8:10). Arizona with the 4th pick (12:32). Another NFL draft bet based on wisdom of crowds (18:25). The quarterbacks at the 2nd, 3rd pick (24:00). Los Angeles Charger with the 5th pick (26:02).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
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Matt Waldman, who creates the Rookie Scouting Portfolio based on countless hours of watching film, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The difficulty in projecting JJ McCarthy (2:34). Why quarterbacks fail in the NFL (14:46). How to improve NFL QB development (24:05). Bryce Young, Jordan Love (29:10). How to tell when an NFL rookie QB will fail (32:08).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Ryan O'Hanlon, the author of the excellent Net Gains: Inside the Beautiful Game's Analytics Revolution and writer for ESPN, joins the show to discuss Champions League. Highlights include: The one thing to take home from Net Gains (0:42). Man City vs Real Madrid (5:39). Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (15:28). Dortmund vs Atletic Madrid (22:26). Barcelona vs PSG (28:05).
Ryan is a soccer analytics expert, and I highly recommend checking out his book Net Gains.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Aaron Barzilai has a Stanford PhD and has worked for multiple NBA teams. He has also founded HerHoopStats.com, a comprehensive site for women's college basketball and WNBA analytics, and joins the show to discuss the 2024 Final Four. Highlights include: South Carolina, coach Dawn Staley vs North Carolina State (0:42). Iowa vs Connecticut (8:50). Offensive, defensive efficiency for Final Four contenders (12:56). Stanford PhD to the NBA (17:34). The origins of HerHoopStats (24:40). The growth in women's basketball (32:32).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
With the new rules in college basketball, transfers can make a big impact on a team. Edward Egros explores the data behind transfers and breaks down the impact on teams like Kansas, North Carolina State and Gonzaga.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
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You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
You love March Madness because of the upsets, the underdog that slays the huge favorite. Edward Egros looks at the last five colossal upsets and spots trends in these games.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
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You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
Data and analytics are very good at predicting the outcome of March Madness. However, you might choose to go against the numbers in your bracket.
This episode explores the cognitive science behind why you are still considering that 12 over 5 seed upset. Humans are worse than rats in dealing with randomness, and this has consequences in filling out your bracket for the 2024 NCAA tournament.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
https://thepowerrank.com/
You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
Do college basketball teams that perform better on the road have an edge in the NCAA tournament? Conversely, do teams that only thrive at home fail in March?
Edward Egros looks at the evolution of home court advantage and how teams perform on the road compared to home. He identifies three teams to fade in the 2024 NCAA tournament.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
https://thepowerrank.com/
You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
The Mountain West has had a remarkable season, as the mid-major conference might get up to six teams in the 2024 NCAA tournament. Edward Egros takes a data based approach to break down San Diego State, a team that made the title game in 2023, as well as Utah State and Boise State.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
https://thepowerrank.com/
You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
The Southeastern Conference has provided some of the best, most entertaining college basketball this season. Edward Egros breaks down the tournament chances for Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
https://thepowerrank.com/
You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
Data is king, as predictive analytics should play a crucial role in predicting the outcome of the 2024 NCAA tournament. However, do not forget about a surprising predictive resource based on the wisdom of crowds.
Bracket Wisdom is a daily series on The Football Analytics Show to get you ready to win your March Madness pool. To get your free cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket, sign up for The Power Rank's email newsletter:
https://thepowerrank.com/
You will also get 5-Nugget Saturday, my curated list of sports betting tips and analytics.
Professor Edward Egros, a sports analytics and betting expert who has worked for Fox, FanDuel and the NFL among other places, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The Big Ten team that can surprise in the NCAA tournament (2:13). The Big West team that could play Cinderella (4:07). Edward's favorite to win the 2024 tournament (9:17). Alabama (17:39). College basketball analytics resources (22:12). Bracket Wisdom series (24:38).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
You will also get my March Madness cheat sheet that makes it drop dead easy to fill out your bracket.
Ed Miller, co-author of the books Interception - The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting and The Logic of Sports Betting, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The one thing to take away from Interception (1:10). Betting versus making software for sports books operators (4:40). Why he and Matthew Davidow wrote Interception (6:47). Price discovery versus math models for making markets (10:39). The best way to win at sports betting that quants will like (16:45). How to beat same game parlays, or SGPs (20:22).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Jordan Sperber, college basketball analytics expert and founder of the Hoop Vision newsletter and channel, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How Houston's top ranked defense defies analytics (1:12). Top national title contenders (8:31). Study on transition threes (9:38). Study on mid-range jumper (15:47). An overrated college basketball team (24:29).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Connecticut won the 2023 NCAA tournament in dominant fashion, and my numbers suggest that Dan Hurley's team will contend again this season.
This episode contains a chapter from the book The Miracle of St. Anthony by Adrian Wojnarowksi, my favorite sports book. It tells the story of a young Dan Hurley and his transition from playing to coaching.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting and March Madness bracket advice. To get my cheat sheet for filling out your bracket, sign up for the free newsletter here:
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Matt Freedman, the head of betting at Matthew Berry Fantasy Life and the writer of the Betting Life newsletter, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A more obscure Super Bowl prop (1:28). A more conventional Super Bowl prop (5:19). How Matt and Fantasy Life come up with quantitative predictions (10:00). How Kansas City will attack San Francisco (14:13). An alternative to Travis Kelce MVP bet (20:00). Brock Purdy interceptions (22:30). Super Bowl prop market (29:00).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Adam Levitan, the founder of Establish the Run and NFL props expert, joins the show for a wide ranging discussion. Highlights include: Two Super Bowl props (0:50). How the quantitative team at Establish the Run works (7:20). How the NFL prop market has changed (11:51). San Francisco offense vs Kansas City defense (15:07). Kansas City offense vs San Francisco analysis (17:50). General advice on Super Bowl props (19:13).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Drew Dinsick, a well respected quantitative bettor that also goes by Whale Capper, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Best bet on Kansas City at Baltimore (0:59). The spread market for Kansas City at Baltimore (13:16). Bet on Detroit at San Francisco (18:30). Biggest takeaway from the 2023 NFL season (26:37).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Evan Silva, founder of Establish the Run and an exceptional NFL analyst, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Biggest takeaway for the 2023 NFL season (:40). Best bet for the Divisional Playoff (5:47). Houston at Baltimore (9:45). Green Bay at San Francisco (14:05). Chicago Bears and the top pick of the 2024 draft (21:45). Evan's QB rankings (26:58).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Clevta, founder of clevanalytics.com and a respected NFL bettor, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
Clevta does awesome work, and his analysis of these games is excellent.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Tej Seth, a data scientist at Sumer Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on Michigan vs Washington (1:03). Metrics Tej uses to evaluate NFL teams (6:10). Biggest NFL takeaway from the 2023 season (9:12). Detroit Lions (17:08). Tej's story and programming course (21:37).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Kelley Ford, the founder of the popular college football analytics site kfordratings.com, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: 3 big analytics takeaways from the 2023 season (1:47). How his college football rating work (7:38). Michigan vs Alabama (14:20). Texas vs Washington (23:02). 2 book recommendations (30:48).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Ryan Noonan, the Sports Betting Manager at 4for4 and cohost of the Move the Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Handicapping NFL tackle props (5:09). Tackle prop on Jacksonville safety (13:29). Tackle prop on Indianapolis interior lineman (15:50). Tackle prop on Chicago linebacker (18:01). Ryan's story of getting in sports betting (24:17).
Ryan was very generous in providing bets, and his analysis is excellent.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Edward Egros, a professor at Pepperdine University and co-host of BetQL Daily, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why NFL offenses suck this season (0:54). Defenses that play light boxes and what that means (7:12). A bet on Jacksonville at Cleveland (10:46). College football playoff semi-final games (17:38). A bet on Buffalo at Kansas City (26:25). The sign of value in a market (31:41).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Ben Brown, football analytics expert and contributor at Pinnacle sports book, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: A bet on San Francisco at Philadelphia, NFL Week 13 (2:25). Jalen Hurts as a passer (6:15). Georgia vs Alabama, SEC Championship game (14:37). Atlanta at New York Jets, making a prediction on Tim Boyle (20:06).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/