Connor Allen, NFL player prop expert at 4for4 Bets, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
02:09 Detroit Lions
04:50 Offensive line play
12:34 Connor's prop betting process
18:00 NFL prop bet, Minnesota vs Pittsburgh
21:09 Indianapolis Colts
27:41 San Francisco Niners
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Bill Connelly, the godfather of college football analytics and author of the new book Forward Progress: The Definitive Guide to the Future of College Football, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
00:51 His new book Forward Progress
03:47 Predicting the future of college football
13:36 Promotion and relegation
19:48 The quarterback situation in college football
29:32 Georgia at Tennessee
34:42 Florida at LSU
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
This ninth episode of The 2025 Preview Series first questions a primary national title contender before acknowledging that program may have reached a new level. Then it dissects a Big Ten team in which program history and NFL talent pull in opposite directions.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
The eighth episode of The 2025 Preview Series first looks the quarterback who might not sustain his 2024 performance, and what that implies for his team. Then the episode transitions to the quarterback and offense with a potentially high ceiling.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Is it profitable to bet the under on all college football or NFL win totals? This seventh episode of The 2025 Preview Series gives the answer based on years of data and then discusses two NFL win totals.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Quarterback Diego Pavia led Vanderbilt to an epic win over Alabama last season. However, the sixth episode of The 2025 Preview Series describes why interceptions could derail his plans to take over the state of Tennessee in 2025.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Conventional wisdom, like that Jim Harbaugh could not beat Ohio State, only holds until it doesn't hold anymore. This fifth episode of The 2025 Preview Series looks at three pieces of conventional wisdom about coaches to fade this season.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Texas Tech will spend $25M on a roster this season, more than the $20M that Ohio State spent last season to win a national championship. This fourth episode of The 2025 Preview Series looks at market rankings, QB Behren Morton and the newly bought players to gauge their prospects.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Are explosive pass plays predictable, and which players should get credit for these big plays? The third episode of The 2025 Preview Series digs into the latest research and what it reveals about Nico Collins, Garrett Wilson and Keon Coleman.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Almost a decade of publishing 3 overrated teams has resulted in a record of 18 correct out of 27 predictions. This second episode of The 2025 Preview Series looks at the merits of picking against the preseason AP poll and three overrated teams for this season.
To check out the record over nine seasons:
https://thepowerrank.com/tracking-overrated-preseason-college-football-predictions/
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
While Chargers QB Justin Herbert is widely considered a top 10 NFL quarterback, the advanced metrics suggest a different picture. The first episode of The 2025 Preview Series makes the case against Herbert and considers whether the Chargers defense can compensate.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Mike Craig, a long time professional sports bettor, talks about his career in a live panel at Bet Bash 2025. Highlights include:
00:00 Introduction
00:45 Early years of college basketball, WNBA
08:24 College football math
12:38 First half vs game spreads and totals in football
16:04 Why Mike went back to work
21:38 How Mike works with his current college basketball group
29:20 Pick sellers
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Clevta, NFL expert and handicapper, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
01:53 New England Patriots
08:07 The 2025 NFL Preview
12:28 NFL win total bet
19:22 Biggest impact player on a new team in 2025
23:27 San Francisco
26:55 Ohio State
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Ryan Noonan, the Content Manager at 4for4 Bets and co-host of the Move the Line podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
01:36 Anthony Richardson
11:30 Ryan's process to prepare for NFL player props
16:40 Two NFL bets
20:40 Cleveland Browns
22:53 Justin Fields bet
27:45 Cincinnati Bengals
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Michael Riordan, a long time professional sports bettor and part of Right Angle Sports, joins the podcast for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include the following.
00:00 Intro
02:09 Michael's path to becoming a profitable bettor
04:38 His process for handicapping sports
11:45 Tempo in college football betting
16:55 Texas and Arch Manning
19:32 Penn State
24:00 Clemson
28:55 Texas Tech
30:33 A win total bet and the new way to do team ratings in the portal era
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
On July 24, 2019, professional bettor Spanky introduced a now common sports betting term. In addition, host Ed Feng talks about his plans for the 2025 football season.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
John Reeder, creator of the Risk of Ruin podcast that is This American Life for risk takers, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
00:53 The story behind Risk of Ruin
04:52 Why John spends so much time editing
13:08 Coming up with ideas for episodes
16:34 Favorite episodes
21:28 Best episodes for first time listeners
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Spanky, a professional sports bettor and creator of Bet Bash, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include:
00:00 Intro
00:20 The greatest moment on The Football Analytics Show podcast
03:13 How Spanky bets in 2025
09:59 How the sports betting industry has changed
19:50 How big the college football props market has to be for Spanky's group to get involved
23:19 Why you should go to Bet Bash
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Looking for a great read? These are my top 5 sports books of all time.
00:00 Intro
00:19 The Boys in the Boat by Daniel James Brown
01:37 Friday Night Lights by Buzz Bissinger
02:54 Duel in the Sun by John Brant
04:10 The Miracle of St. Anthony by Adrian Wojnarowski
05:46 The Miracle of Castel di Sangro by Joe McGinniss
07:34 Is this list a ranking?
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. Think John Oliver at Bet Bash. To check it out on Spotify, click here:
https://open.spotify.com/show/7EJkoJXlF7LCiy5ekOt2c6
The wisdom of crowds by aggregating subjective power rankings is a powerful NFL preseason predictor. Ed Feng describes these results and looks at three teams.
00:00 Intro
01:51 Chicago Bears
05:56 New England Patriots
10:14 Los Angeles Rams.
Check out the post draft wisdom of crowds rankings: https://thepowerrank.com/nfl/
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook that digs deeper into the wisdom of crowds for making preseason NFL predictions. To check it out on Spotify, click here:
https://open.spotify.com/show/7EJkoJXlF7LCiy5ekOt2c6
Matt Waldman, creator of the Rookie Scouting Portfolio (RSP) and senior writer at Football Guys, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Why RSP is read by NFL people and fantasy football players (0:48). Confidence for a quarterback, and who has it in the 2025 class (8:45). Jalen Milroe (21:30). Shadeur Sanders (30:00). Playing multiple sports in high school (41:32). Caleb Williams vs Jayden Daniels (50:32). Drake Maye (55:15).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Henry Abbott, the founder of TrueHoop NBA blog and author of the new book Ballistic: The New Science of Injury-Free Athletic Performance, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The origin the massive blog TrueHoop (6:13). How the New England Patriots massively reduced hamstring injuries (11:44). The origin of ACL injuries in the NBA (17:50). Advice for a runner (25:22). Is static stretching dead? (34:50). Oklahoma City Thunder (36:56).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Kevin Cole, founder of Unexpected Points and former senior data scientist at PFF, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Does the draft matter in predicting the 2025 season? (1:54). Analytical draft grades based on surplus value (6:37). The asymmetry of a steal versus a reach (8:44). A team with a successful draft (11:28). A team with an awful draft (18:16). The interesting aspect of Shadeur Sanders (22:37). Detroit Lions (31:47).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. Think John Oliver at Bet Bash. To check it out on Spotify, click here:
https://open.spotify.com/show/7EJkoJXlF7LCiy5ekOt2c6
Colorado QB Shadeur Sanders has been dropping in NFL mock drafts. While there could be many reasons for this decline, this episode looks at an unexpected reason: Sanders only played football in high school.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
The 60 Minute Guide to the 2024 Football Season is an audiobook with two deep dive, analytics for sports betting stories. Think John Oliver at Bet Bash. To check it out on Spotify, click here:
https://open.spotify.com/show/7EJkoJXlF7LCiy5ekOt2c6
JJ Zachariason, the founder of Late Round Fantasy Football and football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: The ZAP model for predicting NFL prospects (1:44). Why there are no rushing metrics for running backs (4:50). Two wins and a loss for the prospect model (10:28). The surprising wide receiver at the top of his prospect model (18:18). Three surprise players for the 2025 NFL draft (27:10). Why athleticism is important for tight ends but not wide receivers (29:33).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/