As an analytics person, you know better than to judge based on a small sample size. But do you know why this is so difficult?
This episode digs into the cognitive science behind your tenuous relationship with randomness. I hope it feels like a short audiobook, but not boring.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Tanner Buzick, the Director of Analytics at Dr. Bob Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: His quantitative approach to betting the NFL (6:24). Carolina at Seattle (13:22). Nick Chubb, Tennessee at Cleveland (21:40). A surprise prediction and bet for the 2023 NFL season (26:20). Advice for breaking into the betting world (29:20).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Mike Craig, a professional sports bettor who also works with Right Angle Sports, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How to get into sports betting in 2023 (5:35). Handicapping college football (8:02). FBS vs FCS games and whether they matter in handicapping (14:42). A college football bet (20:18). Colorado (23:02). Penn State at Illinois (33:12). A surprising prediction for the 2023 season (38:18). A team to fade (44:03). The state of sports betting (48:18).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Before the 2022 season, Dan Hanzus of NFL.com had Denver 8th in his power rankings. The Broncos finished the season 5-12.
I used his opinion in my best NFL predictions last year. Even in hindsight, I don't regret it. Let me explain in this episode.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
How to bet the Buffalo Bills in 2023, courtesy of the brilliant software tools at Unabated. The concept of a no hold market plays a critical role in the analysis.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Adam Chernoff of Right Angle Sports joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: How the NFL preseason impacts his analysis (5:22). Houston Texans (9:00). Las Vegas Raiders (12:15). The Right Angle Sports NFL team (15:05). NFL props (19:17). Week 1 teaser bet (24:55). Atlanta Falcons and total football (28:30). Arizona Cardinals (38:42). Dallas Cowboys (42:10). The Simple Handicap daily podcast (51:44).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Dr. Eric Eager, Vice President at Sumer Sports and football analytics expert, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Offensive line as a weak link system (5:00). Green Bay Packers (12:04). NFL preseason models (13:53). Buffalo Bills and run pass option (19:22). Minnesota Vikings (24:50). Philadelphia Eagles (29:57). Detroit Lions and receivers (34:35). Denver Broncos (40:45). Houston Texans (45:05). Chicago Bears (48:28). His new book Football Analytics with Python and R (49:39).
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/
Ohio State starts the season at #3 in the preseason AP poll. That might seem like a stretch after a 45-23 beat down to Michigan. Let's explore.
The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get 5-Nugget Saturday, a curated list of bets and analytics, sign up for the free newsletter here:
https://thepowerrank.com/