Gill Alexander, the host of A Numbers Game on VSIN and the Beating the Book podcast, joins the show for a wide ranging NFL conversation. He first describes the debate between those who follow analytics and those who hate it, and which side is winning 2022. Then he breaks down the two conference championship games:
The conversation also touches on the New Orleans Saints, the Washington Football Team (Gill's team), and the future of sports betting.
Fabian Sommer, a football analyst who uses analytics and data in his handicapping, joins the show to discuss the NFL Divisional Playoffs. First, he describes the variety of metrics he uses in evaluating match ups in NFL games. He also discusses closing line value and the curious case of Philadelphia. Then he breaks down the NFL Divisional Playoffs, which includes:
We end with a great discussion of books.
John Sheeran, the Director of Trading at FanDuel Sportsbook, joins the show to discuss the NFL. First, John discusses the Chargers vs Raiders game that could have ended in a tie and how FanDuel uses an analytics based model to help set the market. Then, John breaks down these Wild Card games:
Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins the show to discuss the NFL before the 2022 playoffs. He talks about his prime Super Bowl contenders and the metrics that he uses to evaluate them. The discussion also touches on NFL quarterbacks such as Josh Allen, Carson Wentz, and Justin Herbert (one is getting lucky, one needs to throw deep more). Josh also talks about a new metric for pass rushers and whether he would re-sign Baker Mayfield. The conversation ends with a great discussion of meat.